Conference Championship Weekend

By Mike

Well, that sucked.  Nothing like backing up 3-1 with a 1-3.  It’s kinda like backing up that birdie with a triple bogey.  I feel like I did the best job predicting one of the losses (Ravens @ Titans) because, if the Titans don’t have 30 turnovers, they likely win that game.  But, enough complaining.  The past this the past; the future is now.

 

Eagles (-3.5) vs. CARDINALS

I can absolutely forgive Vegas for not giving the Cardinals a ton of credit.  If Jake Delhomme has even an average game, the Panthers have a real shot of winning.  The Eagles have won two tough games on the road, including a victory over the reigning Super Bowl Champs, and looked fairly impressive doing it.  This was a good Vegas line.  I mulled it over all week.

 

Ultimately, I think the Cardinals have 3 things going for them:

1)      They are at home, on a fast track, with no worries of weather issue to slow down their passing game.

2)      They have an experience QB who will be ready for every blitz the Eagles throw at them.

3)      They Cards are playing with house money.  They’ve already gone twice as far as anybody thought. 

 

And it was #3 that brought me over the Cardinals side.  Philly is an older team.  Yes, many of their guys have been in this spot before.  But if you listened to them talk this week, the theme was “you don’t get too many shots like this, and we definitely won’t get many more.”  Regardless of the result for the Cardinals, their season is a success.  And not many people think they can get to Tampa.  They have nothing to lose.  And nobody thinks they can get to Tampa.  For Reid, McNabb, and crew….the pressures on, and, regardless of being 9-5-1 and needing a minor miracle to even get into the playoffs, they are expected to win this game. 

 

I’m going with the high powered offense, the nobody-believes-in-us, and nothing-to-lose Cardinals.

Pick:  Cardinals

 

STEELERS (-5.5) vs.  Ravens

As soon as this line was posted Sunday night, I liked the Steelers to win, and have seen nothing this week to change that.  The reasons are simple:

1)      Finally, Willie Parker looks like the old Willie Parker

2)      Ben missed about 3 throws that could have made the Chargers game ugly earlier.  And his 3rd down performance was quiet impressive.

3)      The Ravens played a very physical game last weekend, while the Steelers pulled most of their starters in the 4th.

4)      If the Ravens get down early, I’m not sure they have the offensive firepower to come back.

 

I’ve doubted them all year, and I doubted them last week.  But I think the Steelers are going to Tampa.

Pick:  Steelers

 

Last Week:  1-3

Playoffs:  4-4

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